2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the ultimate four teams, so when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they'll be playing to face the winner of the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between those two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about the past, they may be centered on the action available.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, ignore about it, days gone by doesn't play a role inside our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is that Germany hasn't won against Italy in a very major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as these are the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This read more game will be a difficult, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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